Population

GCSE ECONOMICS NOTES. FACTORS AFFECTING POPULATION GROWTH

Factors affecting the population

The Birth Rate

It is the average number of the children born in a country compared to the rest of the population. In other words, it is the number of births for every 1000 people in the country.

Birth rate=	Number of live births	X 1000
	Total population

Factors affecting the birth rate in a country

• Existing age-sex structure
• Availability of family planning services
• Social and religious beliefs - especially in relation to contraception and abortion
• Female employment
• Economic prosperity (although in theory when the economy is doing well families can afford to have more children in practice the higher the economic prosperity the lower the birth rate).
• Poverty levels – children can be seen as an economic resource in developing countries as they can earn money
• Infant Mortality Rate – a family may have more children if a country's IMR is high as it is likely some of those children will die.
• Conflicts
• Typical age of marriage

The Death Rate

The number of people who die each year compared to every 1000 people in the population is known as death rate.

Death rate=	number of deaths	X 1000
	Total population

Factors affecting Death rate in a country

• Medical facilities and health care
• Nutrition levels
• Living standard
• Access to clean drinking water
• Hygiene levels
• Levels of infectious diseases
• Social factors such as conflicts and levels of violent crime

Net Migration

Emigration is when a person moves out of the country.
Immigration is when a person moves into a country.
Net Migration is the difference between emigration and immigration.

If net immigration is positive it will lead to a population increase, a negative net immigration will lead to a fall in population of the country.

Dependency Ratios

It is the number of people in work with the total population of the country.

Dependency ratio =	Total Population
	Number of people in work

Dependent Population usually consists of children, students, housewives, the unemployed and old age pensioners.

Affects of increase in dependent population

Lower standard of living

An increase in the dependent population will mean that people in work have more people to support and thus the living standard of the country will fall.

Balance of trade

If the people in work cannot produce enough goods and services to satisfy the need of the growing dependent population then the country has to spend its income on importing these goods and services, which will lead to an unfavourable balance of trade.

Changes in Population pattern as a country becomes more developed

As an economy becomes more developed the following characterisitics might be noticed in its population stucture.

Change in Occupational structure

• primary sector will continue to fall
• secondary sector will first rise, and then fall
• tertiary sector will continue to rise.

Age structure

• average age of the population will rise
• there will be an ageing population
• Birth rate and Death rate  will fall

Geographical structure

• there will be a movement out of the rural areas and into the urban areas.

ptimum Population

Optimum Population

It is the number of people that will produce the highest per capita economic return given the resources available, and their full utilization. Should the population rise or fall from the optimum the output per capita, and standard of living, will fall.

A country is said to be under populated if it has insufficient people to make full use of the resources available. On the other hand a country is overpopulated if there are too many people and few resources. There will be diminishing returns.

How does population pyramid work?

The Population Pyramid—what it is and how it works

Bar graphs are a handy way to illustrate numbers. For example, if we were to graph the number of males and females in Canada for various age groups according to the 1961 Census, the result would be the illustrations below.

(Click on image to enlarge)

If we were to display these graphs horizontally, make a mirror image of the one for women, and then join them together, we would have a population pyramid—exactly as seen below.

This population pyramid shows at a glance the distribution of the Canadian population in 1961.

You can see that the pyramid narrows toward the top. This is because the death rate is higher among older people than among younger people.

There are also a few bulges and narrower parts in the middle part of the pyramid. For example, there are not as many people in their 20s as in their 30s in Canada in 1961. The people in their 20s in 1961 were born during the Depression, a time of economic hardship in Canada when people were having fewer children.

In 1961, the pyramid had a wide base. In fact, when we add the percentages for the three lowest age groups, we find that 35% of the population was under 15. These are the “baby boomers,” a large group of people born between 1947 and 1966 when the economy was growing and prospering.

By analysing population pyramids and identifying trends, we can learn a lot about our society. These statistics give governments and others one of the tools they need to make informed decisions that will affect our lives today and in the future.

Statistics Canada information is used with the permission of Statistics Canada. Users are forbidden to copy the data and redisseminate them, in an original or modified form, for commercial purposes, without permission from Statistics Canada. Information on the availability of the wide range of data from Statistics Canada can be obtained from Statistics Canada's Regional Offices, its World Wide Web site at www.statcan.gc.ca, and its toll-free access number 1-800-263-1136. 

Introduction to population

Changes in world Population

The world population is the total number of living humans on Earth at a given time. As of July 2008, the world's population is estimated to be just over 6.684 billion. In line with population projections, this figure continues to grow at rates that were unprecedented before the 20th century, although the rate of increase has almost halved since its peak of 2.2 percent per year, which was reached in 1963. The world's population, on its current growth trajectory, is expected to reach nearly 9 billion by the year 2042.

Further Research

• World Population Prospects
• Year-by-Year World Population Estimates: 10,000 B.C. to 2007 A.D.
• World Population
• The Population Project
• Optimum Population Trust
• State of World Population 2007 report

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